Assessing Belarusian election politics
To observers of Belarus, the landslide victory of President Lukashenko in the March elections seemed irreconcilable with reports of intimidation of the opposition. How could the electorate of a modern state bordering on Europe have voted so resoundingly in favour of an autocrat? From there it was a short step for many outside Belarus to conclude that Belarusians are satisfied with the security that Lukashenko’s controlled economy offers them; and that Western powers, irked by the obstacle Lukashenko presents to neo-liberal geostrategy, promote the pro-Western Alexander Milinkevich. The Belarusian opposition was thus discredited via a detour through an argument that was no more concerned with cultural and political factors within Belarus than were hopes for a “colour revolution” that would move elsewhere once the euphoria subsided. In an article written shortly after the Belarusian election, discourse analyst Nerijus Prekevicius looks at why Lukashenko’s policies won him votes, while those of Milinkevich and the other opposition candidates lacked mass appeal, “despite” their respective content.